Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.042823 0.050082 0.058070 0.067497 0.078299 0.090272 0.104527
2025-02-16 0.030063 0.039084 0.049974 0.064020 0.081579 0.102719 0.130009
2025-02-23 0.021821 0.031228 0.043571 0.060792 0.084012 0.114026 0.155505
2025-03-02 0.016554 0.025860 0.039022 0.058720 0.087107 0.126124 0.183288
2025-03-09 0.013420 0.022687 0.036704 0.059019 0.093097 0.142480 0.218527
2025-03-16 0.010568 0.019269 0.033296 0.056962 0.095099 0.153117 0.246603
2025-03-23 0.009290 0.018094 0.033095 0.059692 0.104556 0.175653 0.294626
2025-03-30 0.007886 0.016385 0.031664 0.060084 0.110155 0.192632 0.335637
2025-04-06 0.006504 0.014409 0.029390 0.058590 0.112250 0.203978 0.368504
2025-04-13 0.005444 0.012825 0.027535 0.057499 0.114772 0.216110 0.403637
2025-04-20 0.004996 0.012409 0.027832 0.060449 0.124899 0.242269 0.465193
2025-04-27 0.004544 0.011886 0.027815 0.062744 0.133998 0.267380 0.527051
2025-05-04 0.003757 0.010443 0.025674 0.060496 0.134176 0.276492 0.561427
2025-05-11 0.003215 0.009467 0.024378 0.059828 0.137425 0.291707 0.608642
2025-05-18 0.002691 0.008408 0.022700 0.058055 0.138133 0.302027 0.647444
2025-05-25 0.002278 0.007542 0.021315 0.056712 0.139551 0.313832 0.690152
2025-06-01 0.002025 0.007065 0.020804 0.057341 0.145360 0.335094 0.753598
2025-06-08 0.001701 0.006292 0.019381 0.055507 0.145316 0.344044 0.792520
2025-06-15 0.001601 0.006194 0.019754 0.058266 0.156335 0.377705 0.886004
2025-06-22 0.001428 0.005811 0.019263 0.058698 0.161803 0.399677 0.956291
2025-06-29 0.001220 0.005248 0.018143 0.057260 0.162480 0.410967 1.004246
2025-07-06 0.001053 0.004781 0.017216 0.056203 0.163972 0.424215 1.057585
2025-07-13 0.001004 0.004753 0.017649 0.059100 0.176042 0.463170 1.171996